Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.44
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
Flipper23
0x86ff87decf4c59eacd161d3f7aa52a0c0dd4f904
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.79
- Realized PnL
- $68.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.99
- Potential profit
- $76.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $75.88
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Hapoel Tel Aviv position
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $22.2
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $28.03
- Potential profit
- $25.97
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $16.19
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $11.99
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $9.54
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Lakers position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.82
- Multiplier
- 5.93x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44
Yes position
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104000 and $106000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Bulls position
Bucks vs. Bulls
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?No 46% 8 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 97.3% 15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 7% 8.74 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 20% 2.5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 45% 6.67 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 42% 11 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.9% 14 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 91.5% 3.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes 37% 11.99 shares
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 39% 10 shares
- Thunder vs. LakersLakers 11% 9.09 shares
- Lakers vs. ThunderLakers 14% 21.43 shares