No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $118.41
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $100.04
Polymarket Trader
KoninaAntonina
0x8706902c273591cb076bccc74bb27aadb54e0587
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.53K
- Realized PnL
- $3.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $326.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $273
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$92.85
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $198
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $202
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $10
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$166.67
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$16.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.81
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.34
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.58
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.28
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.38
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.58
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.56
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.87
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $177.67
Yes position
Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.04
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.68
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.11
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $114
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.72
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.83
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.17
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.61
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $94.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.7
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 77.8% 113.68 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 77% 264 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 83% 250 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 82% 500 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 68% 199.99 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 47% 400 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 72% 106 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 73% 50 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 74% 153 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 18.7% 14 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 18.7% 12 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 18.8% 13 shares