Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $22.7
- Potential payout
- $349.21
- Potential profit
- $326.51
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$47.3
Polymarket Trader
0x87181cAa0Ed9FC7Aa949e7C08299475ad696D65d-1772288656722
0x87181caa0ed9fc7aa949e7c08299475ad696d65d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.39
- Realized PnL
- -$135.97
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $14.69
- Potential payout
- $127.75
- Potential profit
- $113.06
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$50.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.34
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.44
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
No position
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.74
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 99.1% 123.45 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 27% 148.15 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 48.39 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6.2% 16.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 81% 123.46 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?No 94% 735.78 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 60.2% 146.87 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.4% 64.26 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 77.8% 64.27 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 47.7% 146.88 shares