No position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $54.58
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
madk1488d
0x8738a1fb67e25ad7c022716fd0eda50f2368e1c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $448.94
- Realized PnL
- $17.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $55.06
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $53.98
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $53.12
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $54.29
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $53.57
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $52.58
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $48.35
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.66
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $46
- User PnL
- -$45.36
No position
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $19.38
- Potential payout
- $19.71
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $2.8
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No 97.8% 54 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No 96.9% 22.24 shares