Polymarket Trader

yuan5418

0x8746c8a051a9c8690d6ebd709ddbbd070275f522

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $581.67
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $418.42
Potential payout: $420.52
Potential profit: $2.1
User PnL: $48.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.18
Potential profit: $402.18
User PnL: -$299

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.35
Potential profit: $344.35
User PnL: -$128

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.25
Potential profit: $290.25
User PnL: -$248

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.41
Potential profit: $247.41
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $163.25
Potential payout: $186.68
Potential profit: $23.43
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$10.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.93
Potential profit: $116.93
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.57
Potential profit: $115.57
User PnL: -$110.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.47
Potential profit: $111.47
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.1
Potential profit: $101.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.63
Potential profit: $90.63
User PnL: -$34.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.33
Potential profit: $86.33
User PnL: -$65.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.89
Potential profit: $70.89
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.5
Potential profit: $54.5
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.06
Potential profit: $46.06
User PnL: -$33.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.86
Potential profit: $28.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.47
Potential profit: $18.47
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.85
Potential profit: $5.85
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.49

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.18

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.78

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 18?

No 93.2% 186.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?

No 88% 420.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 95.7% 99.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 18?

No 86.8% 172.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?

No 74.7% 333.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?

No 77.3% 333.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 95% 16.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?

No 3.7% 428.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?

No 92% 428.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 97.9% 14.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 17?

No 98.4% 388.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 59.9% 14.16 shares