Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $290.48K
- Potential payout
- $290.92K
- Potential profit
- $436.37
- User PnL
- $145.46
Polymarket Trader
ElvenWisp
0x8750163b355eb4dee5e1a57d595cf840d854e96b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $290.48K
- Realized PnL
- $22.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $962.83
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.45
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $832.67
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $827.61
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.95
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.62
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.67
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.23
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.22
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.99
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.23
No position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.71
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.22
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.34
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.4
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 290,916.19 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 99.8% 100,190.77 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 99.6% 59,380.15 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 99.9% 28,780.75 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.7% 27,459.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.8% 282,336.43 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 99.9% 9,754.96 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.7% 20,000 shares
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes 99.6% 6.65 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 99.9% 50 shares