Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $507.21
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $146.81
Polymarket Trader
Mertss
@merts_eth
0x8754505a73cf0ab0689d59b0fe783f6d0aee7641
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $507.21
- Realized PnL
- -$251.41
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$470
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$194.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.57
- Potential profit
- $363.57
- User PnL
- -$274.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.3
- Potential profit
- $145.3
- User PnL
- -$62.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump's inaugural address be 2,200-2,400 words?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.87
No position
US military action against Iran by Thursday?
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.34
Yes position
Biden helped off stage at the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Will Biden get a name wrong during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Germany position
Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $110m and $130m opening weekend?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $110m opening weekend?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $130m and $150m opening weekend?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Biden address the nation on Wednesday?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Biden address the nation on Friday?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $150m and $170m opening weekend?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will either candidate leave the debate early?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.84
Yes position
Will Biden resign during his speech today?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.07
No position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 9.8% 3,662.17 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 43% 145.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 75.5% 363.57 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 40% 50 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 82% 360.4 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 52% 192.31 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 35% 142.86 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 36% 277.78 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes 15.1% 1,288.32 shares
- Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes 0.7% 17,199.99 shares