Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Polymarket Trader
0x87593dDe0A778CdA72ca60C482e606d977BDa03D-1771063922390
0x87593dde0a778cda72ca60c482e606d977bda03d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.01
- Realized PnL
- $38.32
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $41.4
- Potential payout
- $684.29
- Potential profit
- $642.89
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $23.29
Yes position
Will Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662.5
- Potential profit
- $662.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $617.81
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$22.81
Yes position
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.5
- Potential profit
- $387.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.66
- Potential profit
- $256.66
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $237.74
- Potential profit
- $236.43
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.69
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.99
- Potential profit
- $228.99
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.54
- Potential profit
- $176.54
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.29
- Potential profit
- $119.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.84
- Potential profit
- $112.84
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $97.83
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- -$6.72
Yes position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.28
- Potential profit
- $105.28
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.5
- Potential profit
- $99.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $85.22
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $87.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $73.17
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $59.06
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.46
- Potential profit
- $59.46
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $46.87
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $50.57
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.45
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Yes position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 172.78 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 96.15 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.2% 54.35 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.7% 57.47 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 30.12 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 28.74 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 217.39 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 57.14 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.7% 87.72 shares
- Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (March 15)No 21.3% 14.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)No 39% 12.82 shares