Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.7%
- Current value
- $832.96
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- $77
Polymarket Trader
0x8761...0611
0x876160ec764e82598504336bac0cdcc9ab1a0611
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.1K
- Realized PnL
- $197.1
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $268.03
- Potential payout
- $302.35
- Potential profit
- $34.32
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $200.18
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $12.2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$15.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.8% 1,999.9 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 20.6% 34.89 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81.6% 449.73 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 38.3% 1,130.57 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.8% 302.35 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.4% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20.3% 686.77 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 18.4% 413.55 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.6% 1,892.49 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 21% 1,100.32 shares