Polymarket Trader

violaco

0x876b9721515a4a50e14055f1707c28ef59d99e57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.94
Realized PnL: $888.94
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $49.3
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $44.32
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $41.65
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $13.15
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $7.64
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Tigers position

Mets vs. Tigers

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $633.88

Liberty position

Lynx vs Liberty

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $608.16

Blue Jays position

Rangers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560

Kent State Golden Flashes position

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.18

No position

Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

Weibo Gaming position

League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$73.1

White Sox position

Yankees vs. White Sox

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$340.92

Marlins position

Blue Jays vs. Marlins

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$385.32

Astros position

Red Sox vs. Astros

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$599.25

Cardinals position

Athletics vs. Cardinals

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$600.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls

Kent State Golden Flashes 51% 982 shares
Mets vs. Tigers

Tigers 48% 1,219 shares
Athletics vs. Cardinals

Cardinals 56% 1,073 shares
Yankees vs. White Sox

White Sox 36% 947 shares
Blue Jays vs. Marlins

Marlins 39% 988 shares
Lynx vs Liberty

Liberty 52% 1,108.75 shares
Red Sox vs. Astros

Astros 51% 1,175 shares
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming

Weibo Gaming 43% 170 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?

Up 50% 1,120 shares