No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $7.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.37K
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $798.53
Polymarket Trader
rewardbots
0x876bb030ddd424ef505ae02914024cf18c6a1703
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.73K
- Realized PnL
- -$175.56
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $2.74K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $186
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $702.66
- Potential payout
- $906.66
- Potential profit
- $204
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $148.42
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $257.97
- Potential payout
- $500.92
- Potential profit
- $242.95
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$104.71
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $145.94
- Potential payout
- $239.24
- Potential profit
- $93.3
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$36.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$51.81
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$123.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 55% 1,502.73 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 15% 7,259.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 61.1% 906.66 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 63.9% 4,000 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 1% 1,913.73 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 76.1% 239.24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 72.4% 2,003.65 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 20.7% 876.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 26.6% 876.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 7.4% 1,913.73 shares