Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.68
- Potential profit
- $260.68
- User PnL
- -$15.64
Polymarket Trader
peiniangzi
0x876f90f424ef747221405308fc09e0134e889a48
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.14
- Realized PnL
- $379.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$54.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $38.14
- Potential payout
- $44.61
- Potential profit
- $6.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.11
- Potential profit
- $32.11
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 44.61 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.9% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No 99.9% 135 shares
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?No 99.9% 135.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No 99.9% 135 shares
- Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?No 98% 60.87 shares
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?No 98% 74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp 99.1% 0.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp 53% 193.79 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No 99.9% 30 shares