Polymarket Trader

0x877eb9F4931D9183cB1638a2DAeb6ACe96D85f22-1770586412360

0x877eb9f4931d9183cb1638a2daeb6ace96d85f22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $687.05
Realized PnL: $2.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $255.45
Potential payout: $260.26
Potential profit: $4.81
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $35.45

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $19.05
Potential payout: $177.23
Potential profit: $158.18
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $30.54
Potential payout: $162.9
Potential profit: $132.36
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $8.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $102.34
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $53.91
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $133.72
Potential profit: $126.83
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$5.11

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $18.51
Potential payout: $133.63
Potential profit: $115.12
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $18.19
Potential payout: $124.19
Potential profit: $106
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $6.19

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $102.91
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $13.37
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $113.89
Potential profit: $104.83
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $100.78
Potential payout: $103.52
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $22.42
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $28.09
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.04
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.83

Rockets position

Clippers vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.71

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?

Yes 6% 333.33 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 96% 226.87 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 94% 106.38 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 83% 120.48 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 15% 116.31 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 71% 187.56 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 66% 15.15 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 6% 166.66 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares