Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $8.88K
- Potential profit
- $7.59K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$740.31
Polymarket Trader
0xMilly
0x878e9be57551ed6953f988c2c94362818160a074
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- -$12.74K
- Win rate
- 17.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $469.59
- Potential payout
- $4.94K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$543.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.52
Yes position
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.55
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$210.24
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$290.05
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$571.43
Yes position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$693.49
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$918
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.83K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.07K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.35K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes 6.4% 358.02 shares
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes 20% 123.37 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 2.5% 8,340 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 0.6% 16,999.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 0.4% 0.16 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 0.14 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 289,517 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 0.4% 96,859 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 200,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 8% 95.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 8% 6,241.79 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 18% 1,333.33 shares