Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.16K
- Potential profit
- $9.16K
- User PnL
- -$22.97
Polymarket Trader
0x8794fcD5e59392994B2160517fC8Ccf9C9B6fA1B-1778803013336
0x8794fcd5e59392994b2160517fc8ccf9c9b6fa1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.68
- Realized PnL
- $228.41
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.59K
- Potential profit
- $8.59K
- User PnL
- -$8.59
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- User PnL
- -$17.47
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$33.4
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$25.77
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$9.35
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$16.98
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$13.86
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $14.83
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$27.82
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $851.04
- Potential profit
- $850.19
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $553
- Potential profit
- $553
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.85
- Potential profit
- $551.85
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.54
- Potential profit
- $461.54
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.23
No position
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.97
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.41
Yes position
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.6% 500 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16?Yes 0.1% 3,333.33 shares
- Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?Yes 0.9% 1,348.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 0.5% 453.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 1.1% 453.72 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 0.7% 851.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.5% 1,428.57 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 16?Yes 2.1% 233.2 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares