No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$359.77
Polymarket Trader
HK.Weather.King
@element_sun
0x8796b28ca8431a29a450041e8b3454d9107cc321
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.02
- Realized PnL
- $881.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $95.02
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $14.02
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.47
Yes position
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?No 94% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?No 87% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?No 92% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 900 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3% 107 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3% 193.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 14.1% 110 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15% 1,000 shares