No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $134.38
- Potential payout
- $143.72
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $14.38
Polymarket Trader
chmcfh
0x87c6e50c8c6ce1536fff7d0065a0df67cb81b454
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $183.84
- Realized PnL
- $46.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $32.45
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $24.97
- Potential payout
- $27.59
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Yellow FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 89% 32.45 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 58% 27.59 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No 83.5% 143.72 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 29.9 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 80% 86.81 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 82.6% 30.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No 98.2% 25.38 shares
- Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?No 99% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.7% 13.97 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 13.98 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 71.4% 19.62 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 76.9% 29.91 shares