Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $430
- User PnL
- -$99.76
Polymarket Trader
0x87cc...7971
0x87cc784bd6e0d4d51903fb3310445e507ae77971
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $589.12
- Realized PnL
- $864.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $222
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$47.2
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $101
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $166.31
- Potential payout
- $175.99
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $67.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $120.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$34.45
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $118.32
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.95
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$21.95
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$35.2
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $73.18
- Potential payout
- $79.98
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $20.39
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$47.6
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$47.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.34
- Potential profit
- $60.34
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.86
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.99
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.82
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.7
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.2
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.2
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.65
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.45
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 200 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?Yes 24% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 34% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 49% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 35% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 16% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 20.1% 170 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes 68% 70 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 61% 100 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 61% 170 shares
- Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Yes 68% 9.43 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 33.6% 108.89 shares