No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $326.44
- Potential profit
- $326.44
- User PnL
- -$284
Polymarket Trader
lanser
0x87cd2d89b5a84866a7dec1b38df8642d0f82994c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.32
- Realized PnL
- $193.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $22.32
- Potential payout
- $29.76
- Potential profit
- $7.44
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.36
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 84% 29.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 27.59 shares
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?No 94% 23.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 298.85 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 23.64 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No 85% 29.41 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 88% 15.55 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 90% 15.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 92% 240.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 99.8% 241.26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 91.6% 241.27 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 91% 13.19 shares