No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $149.97
- Potential payout
- $186.3
- Potential profit
- $36.33
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $47.62
Polymarket Trader
Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef
0x87d1d4198017f86f327c150c73cdd9ac89e33da3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $116.6
- Potential payout
- $164.23
- Potential profit
- $47.63
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $28.51
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $64.66
- Potential payout
- $118.64
- Potential profit
- $53.98
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$5.34
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $97.19
- Potential payout
- $116.6
- Potential profit
- $19.41
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $17.23
- Potential payout
- $107.71
- Potential profit
- $90.48
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$13.98
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $84.82
- Potential payout
- $105.37
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $87.34
- Potential payout
- $103.98
- Potential profit
- $16.64
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $20.95
No position
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $71.65
- Potential payout
- $98.83
- Potential profit
- $27.18
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $19.16
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $82.57
- Potential payout
- $97.72
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $84.69
- Potential profit
- $80.33
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $24.46
- Potential payout
- $84.36
- Potential profit
- $59.9
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
No position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $77.49
- Potential payout
- $81.7
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $75.07
- Potential profit
- $74.54
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $14.43
- Potential payout
- $73.98
- Potential profit
- $59.55
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$16.3
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $56.04
- Potential payout
- $73.26
- Potential profit
- $17.22
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $66.1
- Potential payout
- $67.48
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.45
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $52.93
- Potential payout
- $61.19
- Potential profit
- $8.26
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $44.44
- Potential payout
- $59.65
- Potential profit
- $15.21
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $53.25
- Potential payout
- $59.2
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $58.81
- Potential profit
- $56.02
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$7.59
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $29.36
- Potential payout
- $58.13
- Potential profit
- $28.77
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $56.86
- Potential profit
- $55.7
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $27.54
- Potential payout
- $56.78
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $34.49
- Potential payout
- $50.72
- Potential profit
- $16.23
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $10.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.63
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.79
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.37
Under position
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.54
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.07
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.09
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.21
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.7
Cavaliers position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.68
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.02
No position
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.49
Yes position
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.07
Spirit position
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.83
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.61
No position
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.24
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.7
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.16
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.67
Under position
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.03
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.89
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 80% 40 shares
- Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes 33% 15.15 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 79% 2.51 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 85% 12.35 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No 80% 25 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes 33% 22.59 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No 80% 37.5 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes 20.8% 26.81 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes 22.5% 0.31 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 19% 11.34 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 85% 26.27 shares
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No 45% 6.66 shares