Polymarket Trader

mrmoonlight

0x87ddd7b5033e00713a931a559441a7add7eee210

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.56K
Realized PnL: $9.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $26.56K
Potential payout: $81.71K
Potential profit: $55.15K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$408.54

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.98K
Potential profit: $27.98K
User PnL: -$5.32K

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.09K
Potential profit: $18.09K
User PnL: -$3.42K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$85

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$126.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962
Potential profit: $962
User PnL: -$48.1

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$2.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

No position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.37

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.18

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.61

No position

Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.71

No position

Will Trump say "Monroe" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.84

No position

Will "Trump" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.84

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.44

No position

Will Trump say "Ozempic" or "Fat shot" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.04

No position

Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.73

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 6+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.23

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.83

No position

Will Trump say "Olympic" during Panthers visit?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.49

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.46

No position

Will Trump say "MAHA" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.26

No position

Will Trump say "Windmill" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

No position

Will "Minnesota" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.06

No position

Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.62

No position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.16

No position

Will Trump say "Fight Fight Fight" during trophy presentation?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.88

No position

Will "Mention" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.84

No position

Will Leavitt say "Fake" or "Hoax" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 19.1% 15,474.35 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 18.9% 18,089.47 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 18.9% 10,549.56 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 20% 0.28 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 20% 3,483 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

No 8.9% 470.8 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 23,456.74 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 95.1% 7,413.76 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 94.9% 10 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 94.9% 26,241.27 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 94.9% 10,000 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 27.9% 14,999.99 shares