No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Polymarket Trader
0x87F4953A1B0Af89217bc4C46e1C1458EfCd1A7F0-1773641280718
0x87f4953a1b0af89217bc4c46e1c1458efcd1a7f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.69
- Realized PnL
- $0.56
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.48
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $2.54
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 59% 2.54 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.5% 2.24 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 65% 2.46 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 98.6% 2.49 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 46% 3.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.7% 2.03 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 63% 2.38 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.3% 1.11 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 57% 3.68 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 5.55 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 65% 5.08 shares