Polymarket Trader

0x87F81A302C51A2468Da6eBf379404b70347eb109-1783827412679

0x87f81a302c51a2468da6ebf379404b70347eb109

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $231.77
Realized PnL: -$0.18
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $34.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

Ends Dec 23, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $31.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $18.25
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$13.75

No position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $46.7
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jules Koundé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.53
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Ends Feb 15, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.88
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.2
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $42B?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.8
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $45.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.43
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.15
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.8
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.33
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Ends Feb 15, 2027

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.23
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.05
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Over $12M committed to the Credible public sale?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $43B?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0

No position

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?

Ends May 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.7%
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?

Ends Jan 22, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?

Yes 8% 36.2 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Yes 13% 50 shares
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 20.1% 50 shares
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 35.72 shares
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

No 69.4% 50 shares
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?

Yes 8% 50 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?

No 8.2% 50 shares
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Yes 8.2% 50 shares
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 80.8% 50 shares
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

No 82% 50 shares
Over $12M committed to the Credible public sale?

No 10.6% 50 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in July?

No 82.6% 48.82 shares