Yes position
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.2K
- Potential profit
- $60.2K
- User PnL
- -$60.2
Polymarket Trader
DegenOnChainTest
0x87ffec352a1d549858fef7024a109a80ed5c6632
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.42K
- Realized PnL
- $15.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $40.72K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $659.27
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.88K
- Potential profit
- $34.88K
- User PnL
- -$149.39
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.45K
- Potential profit
- $33.45K
- User PnL
- -$341.4
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $18.37K
- Potential profit
- $17.37K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$53.24
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.61K
- Potential profit
- $8.61K
- User PnL
- -$934.14
No position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.92K
- Potential profit
- $6.92K
- User PnL
- -$532.57
Yes position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $4.57K
- Potential profit
- $4.57K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.19
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.55K
- User PnL
- -$117.32
No position
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$60.78
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$60.02
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$6.85
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $133
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$57.56
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$24.75
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$24.46
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$13.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
FUT Esports position
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Lakers position
Cavaliers vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.85
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $644.36
Kings position
Pelicans vs. Kings
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.76
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $312.82
Devils position
Capitals vs. Devils
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Magic
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.66
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Heat
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.5
Auburn Tigers position
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-6.5)
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.97
Monte position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.21
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.91
San Diego Padres position
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.75
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.48
Yes position
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.6
Golden Knights position
Flames vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 12% 119.99 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 1,075 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 800 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 1.3% 840 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3% 250 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 79.9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 20.1 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.4% 794.57 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.5% 23.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 740.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 500 shares