Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
0x8801...60b7
0x88017e6d108b28f493e1554c9b5b60ea90e360b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $39.79
- Realized PnL
- $60.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $107.23
- Potential profit
- $99.08
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $57.68
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Y
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.56
- Potential profit
- $57.56
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34.6
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.3%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $11.37
- Multiplier
- 3.67x
- User PnL
- $3.26
N
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $8.31
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $6.56
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 69% 1.92 shares
- Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 52% 1.92 shares
- Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 6.4% 15.63 shares
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 14% 7.14 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 4.8% 20.83 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 5.3% 18.87 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 7% 14.29 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 5.6% 17.86 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 18% 5.56 shares