Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $28.85
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$21.15
Polymarket Trader
Hugo459440
0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.31K
- Realized PnL
- $20.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 39°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $37.18
- Potential payout
- $906.76
- Potential profit
- $869.59
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$12.82
No position
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $779.51
- Potential profit
- $774.44
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$44.93
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $685.58
- Potential profit
- $682.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$21.91
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $673.57
- Potential profit
- $669.19
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
No position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $518.18
- Potential profit
- $514.03
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.12
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $409.79
- Potential profit
- $399.96
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.16
No position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $368.48
- Potential profit
- $366.64
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $319.38
- Potential payout
- $320.35
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $300.9
- Potential profit
- $294.28
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$18.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $279.87
- Potential payout
- $279.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $254.73
- Potential payout
- $255.37
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $197.54
- Potential profit
- $157.04
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$32.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $194.8
- Potential payout
- $194.9
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 40°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $194.8
- Potential payout
- $194.9
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $194.8
- Potential payout
- $194.9
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.36
- Potential payout
- $181.34
- Potential profit
- $178.98
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $180.97
- Potential profit
- $179.16
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $143.86
- Potential payout
- $180.96
- Potential profit
- $37.1
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $180.89
- Potential profit
- $169.76
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $178.83
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $153.01
- Potential payout
- $165.51
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $29.35
- Potential payout
- $149.39
- Potential profit
- $120.03
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.37K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93K
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.14
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $830.24
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.89
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.21
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.17
No position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.9
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.46
No position
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.05
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.71
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.9
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.61
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.49
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 148.57 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 19.6% 149.39 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No 57% 149.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 19?No 99.8% 65.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 19?No 99% 12.98 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 99.4% 100.6 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?No 98.7% 101.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on June 19?No 99.8% 14.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on June 19?No 99.8% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C or higher on June 19?No 99.8% 56.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on June 19?No 99.8% 47.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on June 19?No 99.7% 49.4 shares