Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $548.1
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$45.49
Polymarket Trader
matejbets
0x8811506d65bc66d1b936f16baec8ef0962f25cf4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $548.1
- Realized PnL
- $658.56
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.2
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
No position
Will Biden say "Hunter" during farewell address?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.96
No position
Will Trump say "Israel" during victory rally?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.22
Yes position
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.3
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
Yes position
Solana above $145 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during victory rally?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04
Yes position
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Lily Phillips has sex with between 750-999 men in a day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Tampon" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Lily Phillips has sex with between 500-749 men in a day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Lily Phillips has sex with between 250-499 men in a day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt say President 50+ times in her next press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
India-Pakistan declare war before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.2% 2,241.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 1,976.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 25.9% 386.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 36% 277.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 41% 487.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.2% 7.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 78.5% 509.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 90% 1,050 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 136.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 217.39 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes 46% 217.39 shares