Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.16
- Potential profit
- $20.16
- User PnL
- -$10.08
Polymarket Trader
JulianZimmermann
@ShivKum70615106
0x88276361277e19c3d2f3ec8a4010966587cbb855
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.47K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.55
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.74
Panthers position
Bruins vs. Panthers
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Hornets position
Jazz vs. Hornets
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Rangers win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown 50% 20.16 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?Yes 91% 5 shares
- Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?No 93.3% 5 shares
- US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No 93% 5 shares
- Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?No 86.4% 5 shares
- US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No 96% 5 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?Yes 92% 5 shares
- Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers 53% 18.11 shares
- Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?Yes 60% 17.55 shares
- Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes 95.4% 1.05 shares
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in November?No 99.6% 1 shares
- Solana Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp 50% 1,349.48 shares