No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $140.85
- Potential payout
- $189.06
- Potential profit
- $48.21
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $25.85
Polymarket Trader
BdBfjskBdhkwdsnfbs
0x8827c5695128d8a42a35782ca0576405be0999fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.77
- Realized PnL
- $420.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $48.89
- Potential payout
- $60.29
- Potential profit
- $11.39
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $57.32
- Potential profit
- $55.29
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.36
No position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
T1 position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 12.04 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 79.6% 60.29 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No 60% 171.67 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by May 31?No 99.1% 137.89 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 99.9% 17.04 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by May 31?No 96% 72.92 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 90.1% 77.45 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No 69% 17.39 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by May 31?No 93.5% 41.71 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.9% 39.4 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 81.2% 39.41 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by May 31?No 92% 23.27 shares