Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $746.21
- Potential profit
- $745.09
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Polymarket Trader
Trishin
0x882952dd8c7eda931f59fdb180cad135ea4237d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.83
- Realized PnL
- $16.62
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $272.36
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $262.76
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $69.53
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $37.38
- Potential profit
- $34.45
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $31.73
- Potential profit
- $30.38
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $13.42
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.01
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.47
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 0.7% 746.21 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 37.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 80% 2.5 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18% 16.67 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 77.7% 6.44 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 4.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 263.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5% 31.73 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares