Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $62.54
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.73K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$37.43
Polymarket Trader
Secondhandvinyl
0x882c2e9d90d28e02a15be0d7f8d3636994305d07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.59K
- Realized PnL
- $1.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $372.39
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $817.96
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $342.61
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $928.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $780
- Potential profit
- $780
- User PnL
- -$722.45
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $459.31
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- User PnL
- $40.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362.87
- Potential payout
- $400.96
- Potential profit
- $38.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $62.78
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $353.99
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $78.2
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.94
- Potential profit
- $399.94
- User PnL
- -$301.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $380.21
- Potential payout
- $381.16
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $40.59
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $335.85
- Potential payout
- $359.78
- Potential profit
- $23.93
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $289.59
- Potential payout
- $319.99
- Potential profit
- $30.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $299.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $43.25
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $267.54
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $12.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.18
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $279.58
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- User PnL
- $21.98
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$217.6
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $200.4
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $39.6
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $53.4
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$36.86
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $199.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $18.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $197.07
- Potential payout
- $197.56
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $6.42
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $180.24
- Potential payout
- $190.63
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.65
- Potential profit
- $168.65
- User PnL
- -$140.87
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $66.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.7
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $109.8
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $100.52
- Potential payout
- $106.77
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.81
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.09
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.2
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.79
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.31
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.8
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.6
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.76
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.42
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.84
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.17
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.71
No position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.92
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.56
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.64
No position
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.04
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
Under position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 96% 10 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 96% 10 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?No 99.4% 10 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?No 99.4% 10 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?No 99.4% 10 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 45% 10 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 94% 10 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?No 99.2% 10 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 35% 10 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 34% 10 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under 97.9% 10 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under 97.9% 10 shares