Yes position
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $33.06
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $5.48K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Polymarket Trader
grogu.sol
0x882fa7f602983a0896db1b04b6c4bf64f3d7819c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.06
- Realized PnL
- $169.13
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- User PnL
- -$31.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.23
- Potential profit
- $76.23
- User PnL
- -$23.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.66
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.03
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.87
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.78
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.05
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.67
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.53
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.85
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.44
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$509.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?Yes 0.7% 1,190 shares
- Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?Yes 0.7% 4,300 shares
- Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?Yes 0.6% 20 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 0.4% 2,362.5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.6% 9.48 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.8% 4.48 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 0.3% 2,866.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 30.2% 75.37 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 6% 387.82 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 18.4% 387.82 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 13% 839.36 shares