Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Polymarket Trader
letoa
0x8840f2bf0d5fd16c2953a6615a6de0fad97a5a5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.42
- Realized PnL
- $12.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $6.4
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Ryanair say "ATC" or "Air Traffic Control" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will "Trump" or "MAGA" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Tesla say "Full Self-Driving" or "FSD" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will S&P Global say "Rating" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 7% 14.3 shares
- Will "Trump" or "MAGA" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)Yes 83% 5.1 shares
- Will S&P Global say "Rating" during earnings call?Yes 96% 1.48 shares
- Will Ryanair say "ATC" or "Air Traffic Control" during earnings call?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will Tesla say "Full Self-Driving" or "FSD" during earnings call?Yes 97.3% 5 shares
- Will Ryanair say "ATC" or "Air Traffic Control" during earnings call?Yes 74% 5 shares
- Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?Yes 4.9% 5 shares
- Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?Yes 4.9% 5 shares
- Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?Yes 4.9% 5.75 shares
- Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?Yes 4.9% 5 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 19% 9 shares
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 78% 5.09 shares