Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $428.93
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Polymarket Trader
user-122
0x884a6a1da628b8753c425c7525daa5c381fe2bfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.9
- Realized PnL
- $98.29
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $238.44
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $159.99
- User PnL
- -$5.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$20.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.14
- Potential profit
- $25.14
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $19.24
- Potential profit
- $18.85
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?No 35% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?No 73.1% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?No 74.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?Yes 23% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?No 74.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?No 74.6% 9.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?No 72.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?Yes 4% 28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?Yes 4.6% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?No 72% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?Yes 27% 8 shares