No position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $513.66
- Potential payout
- $698.86
- Potential profit
- $185.2
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $13.66
Polymarket Trader
lrae00
0x885a06b4e949c23ff85f05d3bfbb21e5e197efcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $851.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $198.53
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $95.59
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.14
- Potential profit
- $269.14
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $181.98
- Potential payout
- $247.59
- Potential profit
- $65.61
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $81.98
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $100.58
- Potential payout
- $203.18
- Potential profit
- $102.61
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Austria position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158
- Potential profit
- $158
- User PnL
- -$72.68
Over position
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.66
- Potential profit
- $127.66
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $46.11
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.03
- Potential profit
- $83.03
- User PnL
- -$46.15
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.54
- Potential profit
- $76.54
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.4
- Potential profit
- $63.4
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.64
- Potential profit
- $60.64
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.76
- Potential profit
- $56.76
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.5
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.76
- Potential profit
- $49.76
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.22
- Potential profit
- $45.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.64
- Potential profit
- $44.64
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.03
- Potential profit
- $44.03
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.1
- Potential profit
- $43.1
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.33
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.65
Up position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.63
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.16
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.12
Down position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.98
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Down position
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.39
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.62
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.27
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.54
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?No 49% 203.18 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 45% 111.11 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?No 68% 294.12 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Austria 60% 166.67 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex BoltOliver Tarvet 79% 126.65 shares
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over 78.3% 127.66 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No 37% 270.27 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?No 71.5% 698.86 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 40.4% 247.59 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 46% 158 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 99% 10.1 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 75% 13.33 shares