No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $54.86
- Potential payout
- $55.44
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Polymarket Trader
tadfa
0x88719f7bc0313242a7ee849a98031b70a942bffd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.86
- Realized PnL
- $159.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Vikings position
Commanders vs. Vikings
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.75
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $7.00 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Meta reach $770 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Meta reach $860 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Meta reach $810 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No 99.2% 55.44 shares
- Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.8% 4.35 shares
- Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.8% 4.15 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.8% 3.61 shares
- Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 3.7 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 2.56 shares
- Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 4.23 shares
- Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.8% 4.14 shares
- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.6% 5.25 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No 99.9% 4.53 shares
- Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No 99.9% 4.34 shares
- Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No 99.9% 3.7 shares