No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $23.64
- Potential payout
- $47.76
- Potential profit
- $24.12
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Polymarket Trader
0x8874...a337
0x887405d9d38195bdce0d9c49df9c71b6fea9a337
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $74.53
- Realized PnL
- -$12.07
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $23.71
- Potential payout
- $47.01
- Potential profit
- $23.3
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $22.22
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $21.78
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 44 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.8% 47.01 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50% 47.76 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes 0.1% 40.75 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes 53% 40.75 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 15% 166.66 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 20.51 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 73% 5.48 shares
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 78% 19.23 shares
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 78% 1.28 shares