No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$181.5
Polymarket Trader
afterdark1111
0x887577b46df87acd2116a12107daeac8cfbf9620
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.29
- Realized PnL
- $83.37
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.61
- Potential profit
- $454.61
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $136.54
- Potential payout
- $211.69
- Potential profit
- $75.15
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $54.79
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $162.89
- Potential profit
- $152.95
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $19.81
- Potential payout
- $96.66
- Potential profit
- $76.84
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $4.81
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.32
- Potential profit
- $66.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$39.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 42.95 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No 15.1% 66.32 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.1% 162.89 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 15.5% 96.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 850.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 40.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 128.21 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?No 5.5% 454.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 4% 250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7.9% 1,259.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 50% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 53% 188.68 shares