Polymarket Trader

0x3c7E0994de0c63b6f1f7686dA42746a368De401E-1781641511258

0x8882badcd9ce5786454bc55bd6b8fa05063503fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.72
Realized PnL: $15.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $97.42
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$23.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $16.22
Potential payout: $62.38
Potential profit: $46.16
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $59.03
Potential profit: $59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $54.4
Potential profit: $46.24
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 37.6%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $47.5
Potential profit: $29.64
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $42.22
Potential profit: $41.99
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $35.98
Potential profit: $34.27
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.73
Potential payout: $32.44
Potential profit: $28.71
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $28.48
Potential payout: $31.66
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $20.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $31.16
Potential profit: $31.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.52
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.11
Potential profit: $26.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $21.73
Multiplier: 6.17x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $25.56
Potential profit: $23.64
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $25.33
Potential profit: $23.31
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $20.7
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $20.69
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.2
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $19.03
Potential profit: $15.04
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $18.1
Potential profit: $14.84
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $10.84
Potential payout: $16.55
Potential profit: $5.71
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $15.4
Potential profit: $10.78
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $618.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.51

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 16.5% 6.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 31% 6.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Yes 13.9% 14.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 19?

Yes 5.6% 35.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 19?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 25% 8.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Yes 19.8% 5.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares