Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $452.63
- Potential profit
- $409.63
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$27
Polymarket Trader
0x888363fa1394Cd696E44c9E86012016E770d700d-1771625070113
0x888363fa1394cd696e44c9e86012016e770d700d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80.37
- Realized PnL
- -$25.49
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $139.93
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $94.16
- Potential profit
- $85.22
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$46.05
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $49.72
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $28.2
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $32.58
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $27.64
- Potential profit
- $26.59
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $14.44
- Potential profit
- $9.53
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Yes position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes 46.1% 57.93 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes 62% 9 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 62% 57.94 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 35% 41.61 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 36% 41.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes 31% 101.53 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 57.63 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 37.5% 87.81 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 42% 87.81 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 52% 68.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 80% 8.44 shares
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?Yes 5.1% 25.19 shares