No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Polymarket Trader
Claytonwe
@hdjhhfjkhf
0x888e1df03e0868d5fcc9cbb5191e1afa40d0d6fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37
- Realized PnL
- $21.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Trump nominate Bryan Slater for Labor Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Gladiator II gross less than $53m on opening weekend?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during Hannity town hall?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Bruins position
Sharks vs. Bruins
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Kamala position
Who is asked the first debate question?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Maduro out in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Bitcoin all time high in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 16,000,000 and 18,000,000?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Young Boys beat Atalanta?
Ends Nov 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No 91.9% 1.37 shares
- Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No 99.1% 1.28 shares
- Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No 99.5% 1.29 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 91.9% 1.15 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 92.8% 1.15 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 16,000,000 and 18,000,000?Yes 88% 1.34 shares
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?No 31% 4.02 shares
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?No 34% 4.03 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes 99.2% 1.07 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No 98.4% 1.46 shares
- Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out in 2025?No 99.3% 1.24 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes 99.9% 1.07 shares