No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $613.94
- Potential profit
- $613.94
- User PnL
- -$75.04
Polymarket Trader
UN-Sure
0x88911ee8caf1aabd510bd7d427f7955b7a24b5fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $943.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $609.95
- Potential profit
- $609.95
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $451.37
- Potential profit
- $451.37
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.98
- Potential profit
- $349.98
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343
- Potential profit
- $343
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.88
- Potential profit
- $298.88
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.6
- Potential profit
- $245.6
- User PnL
- -$13.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.97
- Potential profit
- $229.97
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.04
- Potential profit
- $225.04
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.45
- Potential profit
- $209.45
- User PnL
- -$12.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.93
- Potential profit
- $197.93
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.62
- Potential profit
- $175.62
- User PnL
- -$133.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.88
- Potential profit
- $171.88
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.24
- Potential profit
- $171.24
- User PnL
- -$6.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.04
- Potential profit
- $152.04
- User PnL
- -$37.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 36°C or higher on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.77
- Potential profit
- $151.77
- User PnL
- -$12.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.99
- Potential profit
- $150.99
- User PnL
- -$16.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.56
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.62
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.79
No position
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.02
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.13
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.82
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.01
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.39
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.24
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.59
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 19?No 93% 22.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?No 98.3% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?No 98% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 19?No 89% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?No 98.3% 26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?No 97% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 19?No 97.3% 18 shares
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo 98.8% 12.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 19?No 96% 5.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?No 95.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?No 98.3% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?No 96.5% 9 shares