Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Polymarket Trader
Kiley852
0x889b84bcd6a141fc3c8804580eaca7e7d1c19b5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Trump post less than 80 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will 'Alto Knights' gross less than 5-7m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
China wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?
Ends Mar 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 86% 4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 65 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 45 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 73% 57 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 73% 57 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 32 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.7% 26 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 93.6% 34 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 12% 86 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.7% 40 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.6% 31 shares