Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x889d...8342
0x889d9e03c3d241db5a469704a08bad9782398342
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $28.28
- Realized PnL
- $97.52
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $74.21
- Potential profit
- $69.09
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $68.33
- Potential profit
- $66.76
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $57.74
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37.98
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.32
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $30.11
- Potential profit
- $24.42
- Multiplier
- 5.29x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $24.57
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.69
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $17.8
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $16.86
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $16.07
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 13% 5.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?Yes 36% 4.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 4% 7.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 76% 1 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 20.6% 4.85 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5% 21.11 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5% 13.26 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 19.8% 5.05 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes 0.8% 55.55 shares