No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $300K
- User PnL
- -$600
Polymarket Trader
0x88AE6C980204d0031Ff0fB000B2f0656e7fB809a-1766224710409
0x88ae6c980204d0031ff0fb000b2f0656e7fb809a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.9
- Realized PnL
- $47.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.77K
- Potential profit
- $294.77K
- User PnL
- -$7.2K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.63K
- Potential profit
- $67.63K
- User PnL
- -$8K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.53K
- Potential profit
- $66.53K
- User PnL
- -$5.5K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.04K
- Potential profit
- $28.04K
- User PnL
- -$9.4K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $39.73
- Potential payout
- $26.49K
- Potential profit
- $26.45K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.56K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.88K
- Potential profit
- $12.88K
- User PnL
- -$399.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $10.23K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.98K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- User PnL
- -$5.42K
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.47K
- Potential profit
- $9.47K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.36K
- User PnL
- -$6K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.03K
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Over position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.58K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- User PnL
- -$500
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Spurs position
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$195.83
Yes position
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$900
Over position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68K
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $992.48
Yes position
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.61
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.83
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.03
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.08
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $294.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.88
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.56
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.18
Knicks position
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.64
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes 55% 1,636.36 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over 55% 1,636.36 shares
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over 55.9% 3,577.97 shares
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over 78% 1,282.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 72.4% 1,448.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 62.9% 793.43 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 98.4% 1,052.17 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes 99% 2,181.81 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes 55% 2,181.82 shares
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 60% 1,666.67 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 47.5% 1,052.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 33% 1,515.15 shares