Polymarket Trader

h038596027355

0x88b6e6704a2c3bdff2a7b21ce6b1b2e8f3343cff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.01K
Realized PnL: $44.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $14.1K
Potential payout: $14.67K
Potential profit: $572.23
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $154.81

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $40.5
User PnL: $297

No position

Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$691.08

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.66K

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$1.79K

No position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $93.69
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$112.58

No position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $899.68
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $75.85

No position

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $518.22
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$354.44

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $995.69
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $80.73
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $51.86

Yes position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$749.73

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $377.77
Potential payout: $410.4
Potential profit: $32.63
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$3.86

No position

Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $253.64
Potential payout: $303.77
Potential profit: $50.12
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $41.86

No position

Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19

No position

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $35.34
Potential payout: $37.7
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95K

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

Will Trump attend Paul vs. Tyson?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

49ers position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.47

Yes position

Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960.2

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $929.29

Chargers position

Eagles vs. Chargers

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928.51

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $827.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

No 3.8% 1,000 shares
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

No 31.8% 104.31 shares
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?

No 38% 50 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 55.3% 999.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 55.6% 1,999.99 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35.5% 2,500 shares
Will AJ Brown be traded?

Yes 95.6% 377.91 shares
Will AJ Brown be traded?

Yes 93.3% 136.51 shares
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Yes 72.8% 1,200 shares
Will AJ Brown be traded?

Yes 96.8% 1,039.5 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 52.8% 2,048.17 shares
Will AJ Brown be traded?

Yes 96.8% 300 shares