Y
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $43.92
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $28.08
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $3.88
Polymarket Trader
sollyisreal
0x88bb4008daec0ad041df6e85d50684cf5e148d2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.62
- Realized PnL
- $2.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $47
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Y
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $44.41
- Potential profit
- $34.86
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$14.76
N
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $29.7
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.02
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.08
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.43
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.43
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.88
No position
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.34
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.67
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.7
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.54
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.25
Yes position
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.39
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.32
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.18
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union have less than 35M viewers?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.09
No position
Will Australia win?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.32
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Miami position
Miami vs. Texas A&M
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.93
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.85
No position
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Yes 18% 44.41 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?No 83% 36 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?Yes 55% 50 shares
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?No 82% 8 shares
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No 45% 5 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?Yes 17% 47 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Yes 36% 41 shares
- Deel IPO before 2027?Yes 4% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.7% 49.99 shares
- Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?No 6% 20 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 7% 13 shares
- Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?No 7% 5 shares