Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $632.75
- Potential payout
- $774.57
- Potential profit
- $141.82
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $24.71
Polymarket Trader
0x88bf...85d3
0x88bf6d6be6922b61397072146c457dc4dab785d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $775.9
- Realized PnL
- $136.78
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $64.6
- Potential payout
- $313.6
- Potential profit
- $249
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $58.06
- Potential payout
- $292.48
- Potential profit
- $234.42
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $136.18
- Potential profit
- $115.69
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.12
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $47.02
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.15
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$79.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 7% 399.31 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 7% 325.93 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 18% 725.24 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 19.6% 1,251.62 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 71% 552.14 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 92% 327.92 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.7% 681.94 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.8% 974.42 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.3% 726.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.1% 30.6 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.3% 844.43 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.2% 433.97 shares