Polymarket Trader

Anthala

0x88c91745b385ca3d61ae817cbdf680336b69069c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.1
Realized PnL: $80.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624.96
Potential profit: $624.96
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.56
Potential profit: $348.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $14.46
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $202.93
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $4.46

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $124
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.33
Potential profit: $93.33
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.99
Potential profit: $66.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $44.83
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$8.95

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$8.2

Down position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.89
Potential profit: $38.89
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

>50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.82
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $7.68
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $16.32
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$2.64

No position

Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $19.68
Potential payout: $23.29
Potential profit: $3.61
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.74
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$5.74

Up position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.4

No position

Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $14.67
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Down position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Up position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.31

Down position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Yes position

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Wind and Truth (Brandon Sanderson) win Readers’ Favorite Fantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Up position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Bitcoin new all time high before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will YouTube take down Steven Crowder’s election livestream?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?

No 9.6% 104 shares
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?

Yes 13% 25.23 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 28% 32.25 shares
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 33% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Yes 34% 26.47 shares
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

No 47.3% 13.96 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

No 91.5% 5.46 shares
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

No 8.1% 12.35 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 84% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Yes 21% 37 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Yes 6% 27.27 shares