Polymarket Trader

Morholt

0x88c984fd5dc7e16397dbbcb9eb575bf7e8f27e55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.45K
Realized PnL: -$8.32K
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.15K
Potential profit: $35.15K
User PnL: -$316.31

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.88K
Potential profit: $6.88K
User PnL: -$399.99

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $4.31K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $581.74

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $316.5
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$272.5

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $48.91
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $168.48
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.63
Potential profit: $136.63
User PnL: -$65.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.46

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.38

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: -$72.01

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$149

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$163.22

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200.6

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$905.13

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.51K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.24K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 34.4% 1,710.83 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.5% 1,532.25 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 21% 152.38 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.2% 1,532.26 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 263.16 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 16% 312.5 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 2,777.77 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 7,372.22 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 2,061.86 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 2,419.35 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 2,777.78 shares